2026 World Cup official site

2026 World Cup Pathfinder

Title Path Prediction Board

Start with fixtures and format, follow real results as they land, then watch the model re-simulate the tournament every day to explain each teamโ€™s title path and odds.

Latest prediction
06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT
Model setup
FIFA Ranking + Monte Carlo
Simulation runs
100,000
Locked results
0/104

My Team

Pick a team and this page starts taking sides

Set your favorite team in the top-right corner. This turns the homepage into a shortcut board for fixtures, odds, squad, and share posters.

Base data

Fixtures and format

Browse 48 teams, 12 groups, 104 matches, and the official knockout slots. This answers who plays whom, when, and where a win leads.

Extras

Play, explain, share

Generate mobile posters, run what-if scenarios, and read the model notes. Rational banter belongs here.

Title Odds Top 10

1
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France
Monte Carlo ๅŽŸๅž‹็‰ˆๆœฌ๏ผšๆฆ‚็އ็”ฑๅฎ˜ๆ–น่ต›็จ‹ใ€FIFA ranking points ๅ’Œๅฝ“ๅ‰่ต›ๅˆถ่ง„ๅˆ™ๆจกๆ‹Ÿ็”Ÿๆˆใ€‚
19.2%
โ†‘ 19.2
2
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain
Monte Carlo ๅŽŸๅž‹็‰ˆๆœฌ๏ผšๆฆ‚็އ็”ฑๅฎ˜ๆ–น่ต›็จ‹ใ€FIFA ranking points ๅ’Œๅฝ“ๅ‰่ต›ๅˆถ่ง„ๅˆ™ๆจกๆ‹Ÿ็”Ÿๆˆใ€‚
17.6%
โ†‘ 17.6
3
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท Argentina
Monte Carlo ๅŽŸๅž‹็‰ˆๆœฌ๏ผšๆฆ‚็އ็”ฑๅฎ˜ๆ–น่ต›็จ‹ใ€FIFA ranking points ๅ’Œๅฝ“ๅ‰่ต›ๅˆถ่ง„ๅˆ™ๆจกๆ‹Ÿ็”Ÿๆˆใ€‚
17.3%
โ†‘ 17.3
4
๐Ÿด England
Monte Carlo ๅŽŸๅž‹็‰ˆๆœฌ๏ผšๆฆ‚็އ็”ฑๅฎ˜ๆ–น่ต›็จ‹ใ€FIFA ranking points ๅ’Œๅฝ“ๅ‰่ต›ๅˆถ่ง„ๅˆ™ๆจกๆ‹Ÿ็”Ÿๆˆใ€‚
10.7%
โ†‘ 10.7
5
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Portugal
Monte Carlo ๅŽŸๅž‹็‰ˆๆœฌ๏ผšๆฆ‚็އ็”ฑๅฎ˜ๆ–น่ต›็จ‹ใ€FIFA ranking points ๅ’Œๅฝ“ๅ‰่ต›ๅˆถ่ง„ๅˆ™ๆจกๆ‹Ÿ็”Ÿๆˆใ€‚
4.6%
โ†‘ 4.6
6
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazil
Monte Carlo ๅŽŸๅž‹็‰ˆๆœฌ๏ผšๆฆ‚็އ็”ฑๅฎ˜ๆ–น่ต›็จ‹ใ€FIFA ranking points ๅ’Œๅฝ“ๅ‰่ต›ๅˆถ่ง„ๅˆ™ๆจกๆ‹Ÿ็”Ÿๆˆใ€‚
4.4%
โ†‘ 4.4
7
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Morocco
Monte Carlo ๅŽŸๅž‹็‰ˆๆœฌ๏ผšๆฆ‚็އ็”ฑๅฎ˜ๆ–น่ต›็จ‹ใ€FIFA ranking points ๅ’Œๅฝ“ๅ‰่ต›ๅˆถ่ง„ๅˆ™ๆจกๆ‹Ÿ็”Ÿๆˆใ€‚
4.1%
โ†‘ 4.1
8
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands
Monte Carlo ๅŽŸๅž‹็‰ˆๆœฌ๏ผšๆฆ‚็އ็”ฑๅฎ˜ๆ–น่ต›็จ‹ใ€FIFA ranking points ๅ’Œๅฝ“ๅ‰่ต›ๅˆถ่ง„ๅˆ™ๆจกๆ‹Ÿ็”Ÿๆˆใ€‚
4.0%
โ†‘ 4.0
9
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช Belgium
Monte Carlo ๅŽŸๅž‹็‰ˆๆœฌ๏ผšๆฆ‚็އ็”ฑๅฎ˜ๆ–น่ต›็จ‹ใ€FIFA ranking points ๅ’Œๅฝ“ๅ‰่ต›ๅˆถ่ง„ๅˆ™ๆจกๆ‹Ÿ็”Ÿๆˆใ€‚
3.3%
โ†‘ 3.3
10
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany
Monte Carlo ๅŽŸๅž‹็‰ˆๆœฌ๏ผšๆฆ‚็އ็”ฑๅฎ˜ๆ–น่ต›็จ‹ใ€FIFA ranking points ๅ’Œๅฝ“ๅ‰่ต›ๅˆถ่ง„ๅˆ™ๆจกๆ‹Ÿ็”Ÿๆˆใ€‚
2.7%
โ†‘ 2.7