Generated at
06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT
Probability Board
All 48 teams on one board: contenders, long shots, and daily Monte Carlo movement. Odds update every day at 00:00 ET, and locked results feed the next simulation.
All Teams
Sorted by title probability. The bar shows championship odds, not inflated confidence; the longer it gets, the more the model is willing to take the blame first.
| # | Team | Group | Confederation | Main path | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 🇧🇷BrazilBRA | C | CONMEBOL | 1st46.6% | 46.6% | 36.4% | 10.9% | 93.9% | 59.4% | 39.1% | 20.8% | 10.0% | 4.4% | ↑ 4.4 |