Probability Board

All-Team Odds

All 48 teams on one board: contenders, long shots, and daily Monte Carlo movement. Odds update every day at 00:00 ET, and locked results feed the next simulation.

Latest version
06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT
Current favorite
Simulation runs
100,000
Generated at
06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT
Title odds below 1%
33
Teams with movement
46
Pre-match probabilities
72
Reset
2 / 48 teams

All Teams

Filtered odds board

Sorted by title probability. The bar shows championship odds, not inflated confidence; the longer it gets, the more the model is willing to take the blame first.

#TeamGroupConfederationMain path1st2nd3rdR32R16QFSFFinalChampionChange
10🇩🇪GermanyGEREUEFA
1st57.4%
57.4%26.8%10.5%94.8%65.3%30.1%15.9%6.9%
2.7%
↑ 2.7
27🇩🇿AlgeriaALGJCAF
2nd32.4%
11.0%32.4%23.8%67.1%20.9%7.6%2.1%0.51%
0.10%
↑ 0.1