Generated at
06/02/2026, 11:12 AM EDT
Probability Board
All-Team Odds
All 48 teams on one board: contenders, long shots, and daily Monte Carlo movement. Odds update every day at 00:00 ET, and locked results feed the next simulation.
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All Teams
Filtered odds board
Sorted by title probability. The bar shows championship odds, not inflated confidence; the longer it gets, the more the model is willing to take the blame first.
| # | Team | Group | Confederation | Main path | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 🇯🇵JapanJPN | F | AFC | 2nd37.3% | 29.9% | 37.3% | 16.0% | 83.3% | 36.6% | 19.1% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.73% | ↑ 0.7 |
| 29 | 🇵🇦PanamaPAN | L | CONCACAF | 3rd30.2% | 8.1% | 21.7% | 30.2% | 60.1% | 19.8% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.33% | 0.07% | ↑ 0.1 |